FPs Winter 2023 print issue brings together 12 experts to help us answer those questions. Chinas ruling Communist Party will hold its five-yearly congress beginning on October 16, with Xi Jinping poised to secure an historic third leadership term and cement his place as the countrys most powerful leader since Mao Zedong. Jonathan Pershing, formerly the Biden administrations No. [1/2]A journalist holds magazines with images of Chinese President Xi Jinping on the covers, inside a media hotel for journalists covering the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China in Beijing, China October 19, 2022. Brookings experts reflect on the elite political gathering and what its outcomes mean for China and the rest of the world. The panelists included Anne Richards, CEO of Fidelity International; Carmine Di Sibio, CEO of Ernst & Young; Mathias Miedreich, CEO of Umicore; and Lubna S. Olayan, chair of the executive committee of Olayan Financing Company. The implications of this shift for Taiwan may be felt in the coming years. This week Xi Jinping has taken his new Politburo Standing Committee on a group trip - to Yan'An, the base of Mao Zedong's Communist revolution after the Long March. He chose a more radical and costly approach over a more accommodating and collaborative one in order to establish total informal control over the PSC. Chinese leader Xi Jinping will be re-elected as the General Secretary of the CCP, or will be newly elected as the Chairman of the CCP, a title that has not been used since 1982, and the highest position held by Mao Zedong. Xi was able to dominate personnel selection because he had gained control already of the military, the security agencies, the organization/personnel system, and the propaganda system. What Happened at Chinas 20th Party Congress? Taipei is predictably worried. Chinese leader Xi Jinping and his wife Peng Liyuan were greeted by school children on their arrival to Hong Kong on July 1, 2022. The starting date of the party's 20th congress a pivotal event in China's political life cycle was revealed after the Politburo, a council of 25 senior officials, settled on plans for . 2022. A high-level delegation of the Communist Party of China (CPC) has visited Sri Lanka and introduced the guiding principles of the 20th CPC National Congress to all sectors of the society in the island country. The last few years have brought historic challenges for multinational companies. Asia, Central First, enlargement of the PSC would have been an easier alternative to Xis chosen path of pushing out two age-eligible sitting PSC members. The likely consequence is that Xi & Co. will become even more prone to group think than they already are; they will misperceive the reasons that the regime is facing difficulties and never blame its own policies; and miscalculate how China should respond. We have witnessed age-eligible ordinary Politburo members being denied a membership renewal at the 16th Party Congress election overseen by Jiang Zemin in 2002 (one case, Li Tieying, who was 66 at the time), at the 18th Party Congress election overseen by Hu Jintao in 2012 (one case, concerning Wang Lequan, who was not yet 68 when the congress convened), and, on an expanded scale, at the 19th Party Congress election overseen by Xi Jinping in 2017 (three cases concerning Li Yuanchao, Liu Qibao, and Zhang Chunxian), which are all within the remit of the rule. [54], 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, Zhnggu Gngchndng Drshc Qungu Dibio Dhu, National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, 20th Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, 19th Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, Presidium of the 20th Chinese Communist Party National Congress, chairman of the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress, chairman of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, Hu Jintao's removal from the 20th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, 19th Central Commission for Discipline Inspection, Center for Strategic and International Studies, "CPC initiates election process for delegates to 20th national congress", "Xi Jinping's path to precedent-breaking third term - Nikkei Asia", "China Looks Ahead to 20th Party Congress in 2022", "CCP formally starts selection process for delegates to next year's congress", "Retired Chinese cadres warned not to make 'negative' comments", "China's Xi reemerges after trip abroad quashing unfounded 'coup' rumors", "(CPC Congress) Xi presides over preparatory meeting for 20th CPC National Congress", "(CPC Congress) Presidium of 20th CPC National Congress holds first meeting", "China quashes social media about protest banners in Beijing", "China's Internet Censors Race to Quell Beijing Protest Chatter", "Anti-Xi protest spreads in China and worldwide as Chinese leader begins third term | CNN", "China's 'Bridge Man' inspires Xi Jinping protest signs around the world", "Anti-Xi Slogans in Rare Beijing Protest Spread Within China", "Anti-Xi Jinping Posters Are Spreading in China via AirDrop", "China's Xi Jinping Stakes Out Ambitions, With Himself at the Center", "Presidium of 20th CPC National Congress holds its first meeting Xi Jinping delivers speech", Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, "Xi Jinping's vision for China's next five years: key takeaways from his speech", "Xi signals continuity in his China Communist Party congress speech", "Full text of Constitution of Communist Party of China", "Factbox: China's Communist Party amends its charter, strengthens Xi's power", "(CPC Congress) Full text of resolution on Party Constitution amendment-Xinhua", "Xi Jinping secures unprecedented third term as China leader", "Politburo Standing Committee: Who are the men who rule China now? Delivered Wednesday & Sunday. [24][2] The newly elected members of the 20th Politburo Standing Committee in addition to Xi were, in their orders of precedence:[25], At the closing ceremony on 22 October 2022, Hu Jintao, the former General Secretary of the CCP and President of China preceding Xi, who had been sitting next to Xi, was "inexplicably" pulled from his seat and escorted out of the hall by two men in suits and with name badges. French President Emmanuel Macron meets Pope Francis. Twitter:@christinafei. His negative definition of Chinas threat environment provides a perfect justification to intensify control, and the United States and Taiwan are among the convenient dangers to which he can point. * Leaders face a difficult time, with a slowing economy, questions over whether and how to exit its strict zero-COVID policy, rising tensions over Taiwan and high-profile protests over several issues this year. All quotes delayed a minimum of 15 minutes. The industry leader for online information for tax, accounting and finance professionals. Keep up with the world without stopping yours. Such prerogatives include the entitlement to stay barring the age limit. They understand that to make their claims heard, they should focus on bread-and-butter issues while proclaiming unflagging support for the Party. How does industry define morality? With the naming of the Standing Committeea powerful, elite group of seven politicians inside the larger Politburo, Chinas key policymaking committeeit is now clear who will be charged with executing this vision of absolute control. The most comprehensive solution to manage all your complex and ever-expanding tax and compliance needs. Nine of them retired, as dictated by the rule. He wantshismen on his leadership team to lead the agencies responsible for maintaining control. China's 20th party congress. "[39][40], Subsequent footage released on 25 October by Channel News Asia captures an apparent argument about official papers between Hu and Li Zhanshu before Xi requested for his removal. The appointments to the Politburo and its Standing Committee confirm even more clearly than ever that Chinese President Xi Jinpings top priority is to maximize his control of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) system. As the Egyptian economy falters, Sisi is turning to the Chinese government for support. For instance, what has happened to the age limit norm, the most easily observable regulatory pattern that had stabilized Politburo politics for more than two decades? She is currently writing a book on Corruption, Law and Power Struggles The China Model, which will be published by Cambridge University Press in 2023. 1 brand of pasta, but it actually produces its noodles for the U.S. market in Iowa and New York, leading two customers to sue it for false advertising. Yet, at the same time, he disregarded the opportunity to solidify this newly gained power advantage into formal power. He is expected to exert largely unchallenged control over key appointments and policy directives at a Congress that many China-watchers liken to a coronation. Usernames may be updated at any time and must not contain inappropriate or offensive language. As the conflict deepens, Washington announced on Friday that it would offer Ethiopians living in the United States Temporary Protected Status for an 18-month period. The CCP Congress endorsed the membership list of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and elected the 20th Central Committee of the CCP. Xi Centralizes Power at 20th Party Congress. What Happened at Chinas 20th Party Congress? The Politburo announced on Tuesday the start date for the congress, which typically lasts about a week and takes place mostly behind closed doors at the Great Hall of the People on the western side of Tiananmen Square in central Beijing. Next, the rule of renewal. And what happens if the United States and China continue down a path of decoupling? This time it caught special attention as it is the first time the leader of China has secured a third term, despite the two term rule, since Mao Zedong. Checking in on Chinas economy during the 20th Party Congress, Great power competition has shifted in the United States favour. Why was it so imperative for him to push Li and Wang out of the PSC? In the meeting, it was decided that Wang Huning will serve as the secretary-general of the party congress. Screen for heightened risk individual and entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks. Given that the two hard cases of violation concern positions of the military and foreign relations respectively, the violations can be considered as exceptions and justified due to the heightened concern for security in this congressional term. Surprise 4: I knew it was not in Xis interest to identify a successor. Instead of denying Li Keqiang and Wang Yang or, to be consistent with the partys own narrative, failing to dissuade them from forfeiting their prerogative to stay, Xi could have enlarged the PSC to nine seats, keeping Li and Wang while allowing all four of Xis loyalists in. If elected, she would become the third Shinawatra to lead Thailand after her father and aunt both of whom were removed by military coups. Want to read more on this topic or region? People. By submitting your email, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to receive email correspondence from us. The scale of the challenge may grow in the coming years, though, as Beijing intensifies focus on Taiwan and brings more resources to its attempts to tilt developments in its preferred direction. Here are some of the leading contenders and some scenarios to look out for. The only violation concerns Wang Yi, the current minister of foreign affairs. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. Power, Crossroads Now China's elite politics begins its run toward the quinquennial personnel changes of October 2022.. She has published extensively on the Chinese political-legal system as well as corruption and anti-corruption in China. The rule was breached in only one instance: Zhang Youxia (72), who was re-elected to the Politburo and became the vice chairman of the Central Military Commission. And then at the first plenum on Sunday, they elected a new lineup of leaders who paraded across the stage, including General Secretary Xi Jinping. * The big reveal - who will be on seven-member Politburo Standing Committee - will be on Sunday when Xi walks into a room of journalists at Beijing's Great Hall of the People, followed by the other members in descending order of rank. Christina Lu is a reporter at Foreign Policy. Screen for heightened risk individual and entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks. And then on Saturday they elected a new Central Committee. Members of China's ruling Communist Party met for the 20th Party Congress, a leadership reshuffle that happens twice a decade. The Chinese delegation, led by deputy head of the International Department of the CPC Central Committee Chen Zhou, visited Sri Lanka from . A curated selection of our very best long reads. The people of Taiwan have, after all, been confronting this challenge for some time. After putting his loyalists into positions of power with this party congress, Xi will have a bigger mandate to push through whatever policies he wants, said Alfred Wu, associate professor at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy at the National University of Singapore. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. What the Hell Just Happened to Hu Jintao? First, it is necessary to stress again that the rule is applied differently to PSC members and ordinary Politburo members. North Korean nuclearization makes a once-taboo option thinkable. * Li Qiang, who oversaw Shanghai's grinding COVID-lockdown this year, followed Xi onto the stage at the Great Hall of the People as the new Politburo Standing Committee was introduced, putting him in line to succeed Li Keqiang as premier when he retires in March. 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